The Girona province is projected to reach 965,722 residents by 2041, an increase of 127,609 people from 2026. This growth, surpassing national and Catalan averages, is primarily fueled by new arrivals, as birth rates will not offset the rise in mortality.
The upward trend is expected to become evident before 2032, when the population is anticipated to surpass 900,000. This demographic increase will be accompanied by a significant shift in age structure, characterized by a pronounced aging.
Individuals aged 65 and over will increase by 47.2% over fifteen years, rising from 164,062 in 2026 to 241,494 in 2041. Consequently, one in every four residents in the province will be of retirement age, while the younger population (under 16) will decline in both absolute numbers and relative proportion.
While the birth rate is expected to see a slight uptick, the natural population balance will remain negative due to increased mortality. This demographic imbalance highlights the critical role of migration in Girona's future population growth.
These projections align with broader trends in Catalonia, which anticipates reaching 9.2 million inhabitants by 2041, and in Spain, potentially exceeding 53.8 million residents. In the longer term, even more intense aging is foreseen across the country.
