Around thirty individuals from the Catalan delegation will embark on this initiative, which aims to break the blockade on Gaza. However, the viability of the humanitarian mission raises uncertainties, especially regarding the geopolitical implications and bureaucratic obstacles that might arise during the journey.
Sonia Andolz, a professor of international politics at the University of Barcelona, has analyzed the potential consequences of this voyage and the most probable scenarios the flotilla might encounter. According to Andolz, the action is defined as a “symbolic act of civil resistance,” as entry into Gaza without Israel's permission is practically impossible.
“"What is intended is to demonstrate that states are not doing something they should be doing, which is preventing one country from militarily occupying another."
The expert is skeptical about the possibility of this flotilla achieving better logistical results than previous ones. Historically, such missions have been intercepted, their participants detained, and subsequently expelled or repatriated. In the past, even when they managed to arrive, people were trapped in Gaza without being able to leave.
The risks for the participants are high, and nationality can influence the degree of danger, as Israel considers the passport of those involved. Although the starting point is delicate, Andolz does not believe the consequences will be much worse than at other times, with the worst-case scenario being prolonged detention in Israel or, in an extreme case, an attack.
Regarding the legality of the interception, Andolz emphasizes that Israel illegally occupies the Palestinian maritime coast, which should allow international maritime transport. However, Israeli society would view breaking the blockade as a “lost battle” or a “military and national disgrace,” ruling out that the Israeli army would leave the coast unprotected. The analyst does not consider Iran to pose a threat to the flotilla.
