The CEO survey places the PSC as the leading political force in Catalonia, with a projection of 36 to 38 seats. ERC would be in second place with 24 to 26 deputies. One of the poll's surprises is the rise of Aliança Catalana, which would surpass Junts, obtaining between 23 and 25 seats, while Carles Puigdemont's party would secure 16 to 18 deputies.
After Junts, the PP and Vox would tie for fifth place with 12 to 13 seats each. Comuns would obtain between 4 and 5 seats, and the CUP would also fall within this range, with 4 to 5 deputies. With these results, the combined seats of PSC, ERC, and Comuns would range between 64 and 69 seats, a figure that would not guarantee an absolute majority in Parliament, which is set at 68 seats.
Compared to the election results of May 12th, the PSC could lose up to 6 deputies from its current 42, while Junts could see a significant drop of up to 19 seats from its current 35. ERC, on the other hand, would improve its results, gaining up to six deputies from the current 20, and Aliança Catalana could gain up to 16 more deputies than its current two. The survey also shows changes compared to the previous CEO poll published last October, when the PSC led with 38-40 seats.
Regarding the approval ratings of Catalan political leaders, the President of the Generalitat, Salvador Illa, and the President of ERC, Oriol Junqueras, top the approval index with 59% and 57% respectively. They are followed by the leader of Comuns, Jéssica Albiach (48%), and the leader of Aliança Catalana, Sílvia Orriols (41%). In terms of absolute rejection, Ignacio Garriga, leader of Vox in Catalonia, and Sílvia Orriols stand out (48% and 27%), followed by the president of the Catalan PP, Alejandro Fernández (27%), and Carles Puigdemont (26%).
In the projection for Spanish general elections, the PSC would also win in Catalonia, with a range of 17 to 18 deputies (currently holding 19). ERC would obtain between 10 and 11 seats (from the current 7). Vox would be in third place with 6 or 7 deputies, followed by the PP with 5-6. Junts would drop from 7 to 4-5 seats, while Comuns-Sumar would go from 7 to 3-4. The CUP and Podemos could each aspire to one deputy.
At the national level, the Spanish Prime Minister, Pedro Sánchez, leads the approval index with 54% and the lowest rejection rate (19%). He is followed by Alberto Núñez Feijóo (18% approval, 38% rejection) and Santiago Abascal (17% approval, 56% rejection). The poll also asks about Gabriel Rufián (67% approval, 10% rejection), the Minister of Culture Ernest Urtasun (57% approval, 10% rejection), and the leader of Junts in Congress, Míriam Nogueras (43% approval, 14% rejection).
